TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147428
Played Sep 17Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81113151012––––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
81113151012––––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 5–0 Andrzej Krezel Andrzej Krezel has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:09What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Michalik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1400 vs Krezel 1488
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 40% vs Krezel 80%
Krezel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 60% vs Krezel 80%
Krezel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik +2 · Krezel +3
Krezel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.91 / Krezel 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krezel)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13147428
Michalik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 105
Krezel1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 26 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMichalik5wins
AwayKrezel0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMichalik leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrezel0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik2Krezel3n = 5Krezel took 3 of 5
S2Michalik4Krezel1n = 5Michalik took 4 of 5
S3Michalik4Krezel1n = 5Michalik took 4 of 5
S4Michalik4Krezel0n = 4Michalik took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMichalikKrezelM − KBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match41.637.6+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 1169 vs 86 / 24347.2%35.4%552 / 1169 vs 86 / 243Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelMichalik 1.91/Krezel 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik463111011113A. Krezel4211412962
WSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik3941212113A. Krezel3911101081
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Michalik371214113A. Krezel30101280
WSep 3 · 16:35J. Michalik4141211143A. Krezel3811105121
WAug 26 · 05:05J. Michalik45111112113A. Krezel397131091
J. Michalik10
LSep 17 · 21:30J. Michalik4.355780D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 17 · 18:45J. Michalik2.171161117113K. Kwiatkowski1.5681171952WSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik2.0011911153J. Zelezik1.739117131LSep 16 · 04:20J. Michalik1.76611851M. Brunner1.9611311113LSep 16 · 03:05J. Michalik1.861181451J. Skorupa1.7891116113LSep 16 · 01:55J. Michalik1.92081141M. Baran1.7211118113WSep 16 · 24:45K. Rybak3.951111681J. Michalik1.2013611113LSep 15 · 23:55J. Michalik1.621147111M. Karpiuk2.0791111133WSep 15 · 22:20J. Michalik1.851111143P. Gesiarz1.8599120WSep 15 · 21:05J. Michalik1.8611113113J. Skorupa1.80971181
A. Krezel10
WSep 17 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.751171110142A. Krezel1.90911812163WSep 17 · 19:30A. Krezel1.571111113A. Staniczek2.179660WSep 17 · 18:20A. Krezel4.701112113D. Molenda1.1391090WSep 17 · 05:05A. Krezel1.59891311113A. Staniczek2.12111111492LSep 17 · 03:30A. Krezel2.554890M. Warzecha1.451111113WSep 17 · 02:20A. Krezel2.60981111113Z. Nocun1.4011114642WSep 17 · 24:45A. Krezel1.261111113W. Stechly3.259940WSep 16 · 23:30A. Krezel1.262011113K. Rybak3.2518550LSep 16 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.80101111113A. Krezel1.91129461WSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123
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