TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141380
Played Sep 17Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811911––––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:42 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
411811911––––
H2H Andrzej Krezel 3–3 Miroslaw Warzecha Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Krezel beat Warzecha 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1464 vs Warzecha 1470
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 80% vs Warzecha 20%
Krezel
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 80% vs Warzecha 40%
Krezel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel +3 · Warzecha -1
Krezel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.55 / Warzecha 1.45
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Warzecha)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13141380
Krezel2.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 50 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back11% 11 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Warzecha1.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 355 of 487
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it89% 263 of 296
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKrezel3wins
AwayWarzecha3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezel100%3 of 3
AwayWarzecha100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel3Warzecha3n = 6split evenly
S2Krezel3Warzecha3n = 6split evenly
S3Krezel2Warzecha4n = 6Warzecha took 4 of 6
S4Krezel2Warzecha1n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricKrezelWarzechaK − WBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.537.3−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 240 vs 852 / 120434.6%70.8%83 / 240 vs 852 / 1204Avg sets wonper match1.62.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaKrezel 2.55/Warzecha 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 17 · 03:30A. Krezel214890M. Warzecha331111113
WSep 16 · 21:30A. Krezel341111123M. Warzecha2239100
LSep 7 · 22:50A. Krezel4481161182M. Warzecha51119119113
WSep 7 · 15:10A. Krezel4111811113M. Warzecha36811981
LAug 20 · 03:30A. Krezel2238110M. Warzecha351111133
WAug 19 · 21:30A. Krezel511112710113M. Warzecha47610111282
A. Krezel10
WSep 17 · 02:20A. Krezel2.60981111113Z. Nocun1.4011114642WSep 17 · 24:45A. Krezel1.261111113W. Stechly3.259940WSep 16 · 23:30A. Krezel1.262011113K. Rybak3.2518550LSep 16 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.80101111113A. Krezel1.91129461WSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel1.601111113A. Staniczek2.108570WSep 16 · 19:10A. Krezel1.26119911113K. Rybak3.2551111562LSep 16 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.4261611113A. Krezel2.461114881WSep 9 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.36111171082A. Krezel3.00961112113WSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100
M. Warzecha10
LSep 17 · 04:20W. Stechly5.8511118113M. Warzecha1.08991191LSep 17 · 02:45M. Warzecha2.9010440A. Staniczek1.361211113WSep 17 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.2761111113K. Rybak3.43114481LSep 17 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.8911911113M. Warzecha1.82511971LSep 16 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.21971161A. Staniczek3.6511113113LSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.85111166113Z. Nocun1.8087111172LSep 16 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.537720J. Slawomir2.231111113WSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791
Upcoming Matches
A. Krezel
M. Warzecha
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