TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140978
Played Sep 16Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118117611611117
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
118117611611117
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 31–37 Zbigniew Nocun Miroslaw Warzecha has won 31 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:52What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nocun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-37 in 68
Nocun
Wrong
gap of 6 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1518 vs Nocun 1475
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 60% vs Nocun 100%
Nocun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 70% vs Nocun 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha -1 · Nocun +5
Nocun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Warzecha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.85 / Nocun 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13140978
Warzecha1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Nocun1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 320 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it94% 155 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it86% 232 of 271
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha6wins
AwayNocun4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha100%4 of 4
AwayNocun66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha4Nocun6n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S2Warzecha6Nocun4n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S3Warzecha8Nocun2n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S4Warzecha3Nocun3n = 6split evenly
S5Warzecha2Nocun2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaNocunW − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.1+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime854 / 1204 vs 670 / 111970.9%59.9%854 / 1204 vs 670 / 1119Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.85/Nocun 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 24:20M. Warzecha4591111682Z. Nocun47116811113
WSep 9 · 20:20M. Warzecha3811115113Z. Nocun27631171
WSep 3 · 03:30M. Warzecha331111113Z. Nocun217680
WSep 2 · 21:30M. Warzecha331111113Z. Nocun247980
WAug 20 · 04:20M. Warzecha331111113Z. Nocun196580
LJul 30 · 24:20M. Warzecha36971281Z. Nocun43111110113
WJul 29 · 20:20M. Warzecha537111113113Z. Nocun4511861552
LJul 23 · 24:20M. Warzecha4376111362Z. Nocun471111311113
LJul 22 · 20:20M. Warzecha216960Z. Nocun331111113
WJul 2 · 24:20M. Warzecha49781112113Z. Nocun45111151082
M. Warzecha10
LSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123LSep 16 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.537720J. Slawomir2.231111113WSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791WSep 15 · 01:10J. Michalik2.65581161M. Warzecha1.3811118113WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172WSep 14 · 22:00M. Machelski3.45129551M. Warzecha1.23101111113WSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.21911118113A. Staniczek3.6511871162WSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111
Z. Nocun10
WSep 16 · 21:05J. Slawomir2.00113981Z. Nocun1.7251111113WSep 16 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.301111113A. Staniczek3.004540WSep 16 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.4261611113A. Krezel2.461114881WSep 15 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.501111163G. Mucha2.5046140WSep 15 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.10591112102Z. Nocun1.671111910123WSep 14 · 23:30M. Karpiuk2.38119891Z. Nocun1.5381111113LSep 14 · 22:50Z. Nocun2.00611791J. Zelezik1.7311711113WSep 14 · 21:45Z. Nocun1.6781111113K. Gudzik2.10118241LSep 14 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.4011116892G. Mucha2.75831111113WSep 14 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.0071240Z. Nocun1.731114113
Upcoming Matches
M. Warzecha
Z. Nocun
Sep 16 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.12K. Rybak4.85—Sep 17 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.11M. Warzecha1.60—Sep 17 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.30A. Staniczek3.00—Sep 17 · 02:20Z. Nocun1.40A. Krezel2.60—Sep 17 · 03:05Z. Nocun1.11W. Stechly5.05—Sep 17 · 04:40Z. Nocun1.12K. Rybak4.85—Sep 17 · 15:50Z. Nocun—M. Baran——Sep 17 · 23:45Z. Nocun—M. Baran——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.