TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140970
Played Sep 16Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.32
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3119111012––––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
2.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
3119111012––––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 2–2 Andrzej Krezel Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Warzecha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1529 vs Krezel 1453
Warzecha
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 60% vs Krezel 80%
Krezel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 80% vs Krezel 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha +1 · Krezel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.32 / Krezel 2.95
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13140970
Warzecha1.32
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 355 of 487
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it89% 263 of 296
Krezel2.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 50 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back11% 11 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWarzecha2wins
AwayKrezel2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha2Krezel2n = 4split evenly
S2Warzecha2Krezel2n = 4split evenly
S3Warzecha3Krezel1n = 4Warzecha took 3 of 4
S4Warzecha1Krezel2n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWarzechaKrezelW − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.239.5+2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime854 / 1204 vs 79 / 23470.9%33.8%854 / 1204 vs 79 / 234Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.32/Krezel 2.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.9%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 7 · 22:50M. Warzecha51119119113A. Krezel4481161182
LSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha36811981A. Krezel4111811113
WAug 20 · 03:30M. Warzecha351111133A. Krezel2238110
LAug 19 · 21:30M. Warzecha47610111282A. Krezel511112710113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 16 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.85111166113Z. Nocun1.8087111172LSep 16 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.537720J. Slawomir2.231111113WSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791WSep 15 · 01:10J. Michalik2.65581161M. Warzecha1.3811118113WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172WSep 14 · 22:00M. Machelski3.45129551M. Warzecha1.23101111113WSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.21911118113A. Staniczek3.6511871162WSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111
A. Krezel10
LSep 16 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.80101111113A. Krezel1.91129461WSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel1.601111113A. Staniczek2.108570WSep 16 · 19:10A. Krezel1.26119911113K. Rybak3.2551111562LSep 16 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.4261611113A. Krezel2.461114881WSep 9 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.36111171082A. Krezel3.00961112113WSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 02:45M. Brunner1.7771111113A. Krezel1.87118891WSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 8 · 23:55M. Machelski1.96115118122A. Krezel1.69211711143WSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113
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