TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099473
Played Sep 9Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118118119––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
711118118119––
H2H Marian Brunner 0–3 Andrzej Krezel Marian Brunner has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Krezel beat Brunner 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (51%)
Brunner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Krezel
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1259 vs Krezel 1453
Krezel
Wrong
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 40% vs Krezel 80%
Krezel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 50% vs Krezel 80%
Krezel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner +1 · Krezel +4
Krezel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krezel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 1.77 / Krezel 1.87
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krezel)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13099473
Brunner1.77
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 57 of 70
Krezel1.87
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 49 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back8% 8 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrunner0wins
AwayKrezel3wins
Krezel leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brunner1Krezel2n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3
S2Brunner0Krezel3n = 3Krezel took 3 of 3
S3Brunner2Krezel1n = 3Brunner took 2 of 3
S4Brunner0Krezel3n = 3Krezel took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away3100%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrunnerKrezelB − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.340.0−7.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 568 vs 75 / 22849.8%32.9%283 / 568 vs 75 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelBrunner 1.77/Krezel 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brunner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner—1111921A. Krezel—71311113
LAug 26 · 02:45M. Brunner—831171A. Krezel—11115113
LAug 25 · 23:05M. Brunner—31111101A. Krezel—11134123
M. Brunner10
WSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.7751111113M. Brunner1.87116391LSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113LSep 8 · 21:30M. Brunner3.257117161H. Tkaczyk1.3011611183WSep 8 · 20:20M. Brunner1.901211113K. Delikatny1.8010460LSep 8 · 18:45M. Brunner2.008790J. Michalik1.671111113WSep 8 · 17:30M. Brunner1.3011311113A. Barton3.40411461WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113
A. Krezel10
WSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 8 · 23:55M. Machelski1.96115118122A. Krezel1.69211711143WSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113WSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581LSep 8 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.3611118113A. Krezel2.95441181WSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:20M. Machelski1.868860A. Krezel1.801111113WSep 8 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.01991471A. Krezel1.66111112113WSep 7 · 23:35M. Karpiuk1.75211961A. Krezel1.9511611113
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