TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093561
Played Sep 8Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114114811118––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
2.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
114114811118––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 7–5 Andrzej Krezel Andrzej Krezel has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1609 vs Krezel 1432
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Krezel 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Krezel 60%
Tkaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +2 · Krezel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.36 / Krezel 2.95
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13093561
Tkaczyk1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 392 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it94% 221 of 235
Up 1–0, closes it85% 304 of 357
Krezel2.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 49 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back8% 8 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk6wins
AwayKrezel4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk100%6 of 6
AwayKrezel100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk6Krezel4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk5Krezel5n = 10split evenly
S3Tkaczyk7Krezel3n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Tkaczyk6Krezel2n = 8Tkaczyk took 6 of 8
S5Tkaczyk1Krezel3n = 4Krezel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykKrezelT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.238.1+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime998 / 1497 vs 71 / 22366.7%31.8%998 / 1497 vs 71 / 223Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.634.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.36/Krezel 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 21:35H. Tkaczyk—111111123A. Krezel—5138101
WSep 5 · 15:35H. Tkaczyk—1131111113A. Krezel—41113962
WSep 4 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk—11126113A. Krezel—9101141
WSep 3 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk—1111113A. Krezel—5750
WAug 27 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk—1314123A. Krezel—1112100
LAug 26 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk—85111162A. Krezel—111186113
LAug 21 · 01:00H. Tkaczyk—361151A. Krezel—11114113
LAug 20 · 18:55H. Tkaczyk—81111592A. Krezel—116811113
WAug 20 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk—11113113A. Krezel—761191
LAug 19 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk—108141192A. Krezel—1211128113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 8 · 21:30M. Brunner3.257117161H. Tkaczyk1.3011611183WSep 8 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.0611811113A. Barton6.50711641WSep 8 · 18:20K. Delikatny3.0010650H. Tkaczyk1.331211113LSep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.5051111113H. Tkaczyk1.50117771WSep 8 · 24:50H. Tkaczyk1.44139118143J. Skorupa2.631111811122WSep 7 · 23:50A. Kubiak2.63611581H. Tkaczyk1.4411211113LSep 7 · 22:50M. Krutak2.501111113H. Tkaczyk1.504580WSep 7 · 21:20M. Lewczuk3.006101181H. Tkaczyk1.3611124113WSep 7 · 20:30A. Kubiak2.6311148692H. Tkaczyk1.448121111113WSep 7 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.441111143J. Skorupa2.6396120
A. Krezel10
WSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:20M. Machelski1.868860A. Krezel1.801111113WSep 8 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.01991471A. Krezel1.66111112113WSep 7 · 23:35M. Karpiuk1.75211961A. Krezel1.9511611113LSep 7 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.32119119113A. Krezel3.1081161182LSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik1.8841212113A. Krezel1.8211101081LSep 7 · 20:20J. Slawomir1.53117115113A. Krezel2.2381181152WSep 7 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.01611111162A. Krezel1.66111375113WSep 7 · 17:35M. Karpiuk1.8591110111A. Krezel1.8511712133
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