TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093725
Played Sep 7Finished
Mateusz Karpiuk
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111710121113––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:02 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
91111710121113––
H2H Mateusz Karpiuk 2–2 Andrzej Krezel Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:02What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Karpiuk 1291 vs Krezel 1423
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Karpiuk 60% vs Krezel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karpiuk 40% vs Krezel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Karpiuk -1 · Krezel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpiuk 1.85 / Krezel 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krezel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13093725
Karpiuk1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krezel1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKarpiuk2wins
AwayKrezel2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Karpiuk2Krezel2n = 4split evenly
S2Karpiuk1Krezel3n = 4Krezel took 3 of 4
S3Karpiuk3Krezel1n = 4Karpiuk took 3 of 4
S4Karpiuk2Krezel2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKarpiukKrezelKarpiuk − KrezelBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.842.8−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpiukKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 255 vs 65 / 21345.1%30.5%115 / 255 vs 65 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.034.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelKarpiuk 1.85/Krezel 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 25 · 24:50M. Karpiuk—116116113A. Krezel—61181192
WAug 24 · 19:20M. Karpiuk—11115113A. Krezel—881191
LAug 19 · 23:30M. Karpiuk—1141161A. Krezel—13119113
LAug 19 · 19:10M. Karpiuk—69111132A. Krezel—111185113
M. Karpiuk10
LSep 7 · 18:45M. Karpiuk2.10671151J. Slawomir1.6011117113LSep 7 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.181111113M. Karpiuk4.103960WSep 7 · 15:35M. Karpiuk1.7213814113A. Staniczek1.9711111281WSep 1 · 01:50Z. Nocun1.61711771M. Karpiuk2.2011611113WSep 1 · 24:50M. Karpiuk1.919111111113J. Skorupa1.8011813582LAug 31 · 23:50M. Lewczuk1.40111110113M. Karpiuk2.75951291LAug 31 · 22:50H. Tkaczyk1.2511811113M. Karpiuk3.75511751WAug 31 · 21:20J. Michalik1.8311911762M. Karpiuk1.83811711113LAug 31 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.4441111113M. Karpiuk2.63117431LAug 31 · 19:20M. Karpiuk2.1012911772J. Skorupa1.671011711113
A. Krezel10
WSep 7 · 16:50D. Maszczynski2.605780A. Krezel1.411111113WSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.27811981A. Krezel3.3011811113LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113
Upcoming Matches
M. Karpiuk
A. Krezel2 of 9 neutral
Sep 7 · 19:35A. Krezel1.66A. Staniczek2.01—Sep 7 · 20:20A. Krezel2.23J. Slawomir1.53—Sep 7 · 21:10A. Krezel2.09J. Michalik1.61—Sep 7 · 22:50A. Krezel3.45M. Warzecha1.23—Sep 7 · 23:35A. Krezel1.94M. Karpiuk1.71—Sep 8 · 01:35A. Krezel1.66A. Staniczek2.01—Sep 8 · 02:20A. Krezel1.78M. Machelski1.86—Sep 8 · 20:45A. Krezel—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 9 · 05:05A. Krezel—H. Tkaczyk——
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