TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085145
Played Sep 6Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4116111171315––
Cezary Pawlik
Away
1.37
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
4116111171315––
H2H Andrzej Krezel 0–3 Cezary Pawlik Andrzej Krezel has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Pawlik
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1402 vs Pawlik 1572
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 40% vs Pawlik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 40% vs Pawlik 60%
Pawlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel -1 · Pawlik -3
Pawlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.75 / Pawlik 1.37
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13085145
Krezel2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 44 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Pawlik1.37
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 121 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it81% 93 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrezel0wins
AwayPawlik3wins
Pawlik leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel1Pawlik2n = 3Pawlik took 2 of 3
S2Krezel1Pawlik2n = 3Pawlik took 2 of 3
S3Krezel0Pawlik3n = 3Pawlik took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrezelPawlikK − PBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match28.737.3−8.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 210 vs 277 / 47530%58.3%63 / 210 vs 277 / 475Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikKrezel 2.75/Pawlik 1.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 5 · 16:25A. Krezel—4940C. Pawlik—1111113
LAug 15 · 02:00A. Krezel—9111071C. Pawlik—11912113
LAug 14 · 16:25A. Krezel—1161051C. Pawlik—21112113
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113LSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940LSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113
C. Pawlik10
LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Krezel1 of 2 neutral
C. Pawlik
Nothing scheduled
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