TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084902
Played Sep 6Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115118811811118
Cezary Pawlik
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
115118811811118
H2H Andriej Fomin 9–9 Cezary Pawlik Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1431 vs Pawlik 1588
Pawlik
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Pawlik 60%
Pawlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Pawlik 70%
Pawlik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Pawlik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.70 / Pawlik 1.95
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pawlik)+7.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13084902
Fomin1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite71% won 277 of 389
Up 2–0, closes it98% 155 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it89% 218 of 246
Pawlik1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayPawlik4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin85.7%6 of 7
AwayPawlik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin7Pawlik3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S2Fomin5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Fomin6Pawlik4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Fomin3Pawlik2n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominPawlikF − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.135.5+2.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 880 vs 277 / 47458.2%58.4%512 / 880 vs 277 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikFomin 1.70/Pawlik 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 19:10A. Fomin—13690C. Pawlik—1511113
LAug 29 · 22:25A. Fomin—1171471C. Pawlik—131112113
LAug 29 · 20:00A. Fomin—11511692C. Pawlik—711811113
LAug 9 · 24:45A. Fomin—81190C. Pawlik—1113113
WAug 8 · 18:45A. Fomin—1113113C. Pawlik—91160
WJun 28 · 24:45A. Fomin—111213113C. Pawlik—6101581
WJun 27 · 18:45A. Fomin—12913123C. Pawlik—101111101
WJun 21 · 02:20A. Fomin—1111123C. Pawlik—68100
WJun 20 · 20:20A. Fomin—111113113C. Pawlik—931561
WJun 13 · 22:00A. Fomin—1311123C. Pawlik—113100
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113LSep 3 · 01:45A. Fomin2.0051170M. Lewczuk1.731113113
C. Pawlik10
WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.