TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083887
Played Sep 5Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.76
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513116119––––
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
1513116119––––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 8–9 Andriej Fomin Cezary Pawlik has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1587 vs Fomin 1436
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 80% vs Fomin 40%
Pawlik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 80% vs Fomin 50%
Pawlik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik -1 · Fomin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.76 / Fomin 1.95
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13083887
Pawlik1.76
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 121 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it81% 93 of 115
Fomin1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 70 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back36% 27 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik4wins
AwayFomin6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik100%3 of 3
AwayFomin85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S2Pawlik4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Pawlik4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Pawlik2Fomin4n = 6Fomin took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikFominP − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.340.1−2.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikFominBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 469 vs 510 / 87558.4%58.3%274 / 469 vs 510 / 875Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.76/Fomin 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 22:25C. Pawlik—131112113A. Fomin—1171471
WAug 29 · 20:00C. Pawlik—711811113A. Fomin—11511692
WAug 9 · 24:45C. Pawlik—1113113A. Fomin—81190
LAug 8 · 18:45C. Pawlik—91160A. Fomin—1113113
LJun 28 · 24:45C. Pawlik—6101581A. Fomin—111213113
LJun 27 · 18:45C. Pawlik—101111101A. Fomin—12913123
LJun 21 · 02:20C. Pawlik—68100A. Fomin—1111123
LJun 20 · 20:20C. Pawlik—931561A. Fomin—111113113
LJun 13 · 22:00C. Pawlik—113100A. Fomin—1311123
WJun 13 · 18:00C. Pawlik—1110139123A. Fomin—4121111102
C. Pawlik10
WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113LSep 3 · 01:45A. Fomin2.0051170M. Lewczuk1.731113113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.