TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084509
Played Sep 5Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.87
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115611211117911
Andrzej Krezel
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
115611211117911
H2H Andriej Fomin 2–4 Andrzej Krezel Andriej Fomin has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Krezel
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1431 vs Krezel 1385
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 20% vs Krezel 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Krezel 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Krezel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.87 / Krezel 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krezel)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13084509
Fomin1.87
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 70 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back36% 27 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Krezel1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite38% won 16 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeFomin2wins
AwayKrezel4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKrezel leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrezel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin3Krezel3n = 6split evenly
S2Fomin2Krezel4n = 6Krezel took 4 of 6
S3Fomin2Krezel4n = 6Krezel took 4 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricFominKrezelF − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match28.031.8−3.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 879 vs 62 / 20858.1%29.8%511 / 879 vs 62 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.934.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelFomin 1.87/Krezel 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin—11621192A. Krezel—511117113
WSep 5 · 20:00A. Fomin—1111113A. Krezel—7830
LSep 2 · 23:20A. Fomin—6790A. Krezel—1111113
WSep 2 · 17:20A. Fomin—1512113A. Krezel—131060
LAug 25 · 01:50A. Fomin—5740A. Krezel—1111113
LAug 24 · 18:10A. Fomin—5960A. Krezel—1111113
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113LSep 3 · 01:45A. Fomin2.0051170M. Lewczuk1.731113113
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113LSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940LSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Fomin
Nothing scheduled
A. Krezel1 of 2 neutral
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