TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084516
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51113118111012––
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.39
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
51113118111012––
H2H Andrzej Krezel 5–6 Henryk Tkaczyk Andrzej Krezel has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (66%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1390 vs Tkaczyk 1636
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 20% vs Tkaczyk 40%
Tkaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 30% vs Tkaczyk 70%
Tkaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel -1 · Tkaczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Tkaczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.70 / Tkaczyk 1.39
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13084516
Krezel2.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 44 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Tkaczyk1.39
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 386 of 559
Up 2–0, closes it94% 220 of 234
Up 1–0, closes it85% 298 of 351
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrezel4wins
AwayTkaczyk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezel80%4 of 5
AwayTkaczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel5Tkaczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Krezel4Tkaczyk6n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Krezel4Tkaczyk6n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Krezel2Tkaczyk6n = 8Tkaczyk took 6 of 8
S5Krezel3Tkaczyk2n = 5Krezel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrezelTkaczykK − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.1−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 206 vs 993 / 149529.6%66.4%61 / 206 vs 993 / 1495Avg sets wonper match1.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykKrezel 2.70/Tkaczyk 1.39
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel—41113962H. Tkaczyk—1131111113
LSep 4 · 01:25A. Krezel—9101141H. Tkaczyk—11126113
LSep 3 · 19:20A. Krezel—5750H. Tkaczyk—1111113
LAug 27 · 01:25A. Krezel—1112100H. Tkaczyk—1314123
WAug 26 · 19:20A. Krezel—111186113H. Tkaczyk—85111162
WAug 21 · 01:00A. Krezel—11114113H. Tkaczyk—361151
WAug 20 · 18:55A. Krezel—116811113H. Tkaczyk—81111592
LAug 20 · 05:05A. Krezel—761191H. Tkaczyk—11113113
WAug 19 · 20:45A. Krezel—1211128113H. Tkaczyk—108141192
LAug 13 · 21:00A. Krezel—1191214102H. Tkaczyk—5111016123
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113LSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940LSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
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