TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084505
Played Sep 5Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
3.15
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
911811811––––
H2H Krystian Gudzik 2–5 Henryk Tkaczyk Krystian Gudzik has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (71%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1418 vs Tkaczyk 1642
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 224 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 40% vs Tkaczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 50% vs Tkaczyk 70%
Tkaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik -3 · Tkaczyk +1
Gudzik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 3.15 / Tkaczyk 1.29
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13084505
Gudzik3.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Tkaczyk1.29
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 386 of 559
Up 2–0, closes it94% 220 of 234
Up 1–0, closes it85% 298 of 351
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGudzik2wins
AwayTkaczyk5wins
1 of 7 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGudzikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTkaczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gudzik1Tkaczyk6n = 7Tkaczyk took 6 of 7
S2Gudzik0Tkaczyk7n = 7Tkaczyk took 7 of 7
S3Gudzik2Tkaczyk5n = 7Tkaczyk took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away571%
These 7 meetings
MetricGudzikTkaczykG − TBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match26.034.9−8.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 76 vs 994 / 149552.6%66.5%40 / 76 vs 994 / 1495Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykGudzik 3.15/Tkaczyk 1.29
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik—11811113H. Tkaczyk—811241
LSep 1 · 23:55K. Gudzik—6770H. Tkaczyk—1111113
LSep 1 · 17:55K. Gudzik—12490H. Tkaczyk—1411113
LAug 27 · 02:10K. Gudzik—7240H. Tkaczyk—1111113
WAug 26 · 20:05K. Gudzik—651511113H. Tkaczyk—111113792
LAug 14 · 02:10K. Gudzik—4390H. Tkaczyk—1111113
LAug 13 · 20:05K. Gudzik—9640H. Tkaczyk—1111113
K. Gudzik10
LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113LSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113LSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151WSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241LSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113WSep 3 · 04:40K. Gudzik1.891111113J. Skorupa1.799870
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
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