TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083886
Played Sep 5Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711611––––
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
511711611––––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 22–33 Jacek Oracz Henryk Tkaczyk has won 22 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:20What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-33 in 55
Oracz
Correct
gap of 11 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1675 vs Oracz 1552
Tkaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Oracz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 90% vs Oracz 70%
Tkaczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +1 · Oracz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 2.00 / Oracz 1.66
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oracz)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13083886
Tkaczyk2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog53% won 68 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Oracz1.66
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 302 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it98% 189 of 192
Up 1–0, closes it88% 246 of 281
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk3wins
AwayOracz7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk50%2 of 4
AwayOracz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S3Tkaczyk4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Tkaczyk2Oracz5n = 7Oracz took 5 of 7
S5Tkaczyk1Oracz2n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykOraczT − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.038.9−6.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime994 / 1495 vs 654 / 91066.5%71.9%994 / 1495 vs 654 / 910Avg sets wonper match2.42.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczTkaczyk 2.00/Oracz 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 18 · 22:25H. Tkaczyk—31190J. Oracz—1113113
LJul 18 · 20:00H. Tkaczyk—3370J. Oracz—1111113
LJul 4 · 21:35H. Tkaczyk—71151172J. Oracz—117114113
LJul 4 · 15:35H. Tkaczyk—711831J. Oracz—11711113
LJun 27 · 24:25H. Tkaczyk—412771J. Oracz—111011113
WJun 26 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk—133114113J. Oracz—111191192
WJun 16 · 02:35H. Tkaczyk—101111113J. Oracz—124871
LJun 15 · 18:10H. Tkaczyk—11211812J. Oracz—611611113
LMar 23 · 23:00H. Tkaczyk—118571J. Oracz—71111113
WMar 4 · 04:55H. Tkaczyk—1113113J. Oracz—81180
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113
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