TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083483
Played Sep 5Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811112114––
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 78.1% is still 78.1%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
78.1%
78.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
118811112114––
H2H Krystian Gudzik 1–5 Henryk Tkaczyk Krystian Gudzik has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:31What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Tkaczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Tkaczyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1406 vs Tkaczyk 1694
Tkaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 287 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 60% vs Tkaczyk 100%
Tkaczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 50% vs Tkaczyk 90%
Tkaczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik -1 · Tkaczyk +5
Tkaczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 3.50 / Tkaczyk 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13083483
Gudzik3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Tkaczyk1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite69% won 386 of 559
Up 2–0, closes it94% 220 of 234
Up 1–0, closes it85% 298 of 351
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGudzik1wins
AwayTkaczyk5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGudzikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayTkaczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gudzik0Tkaczyk6n = 6Tkaczyk took 6 of 6
S2Gudzik0Tkaczyk6n = 6Tkaczyk took 6 of 6
S3Gudzik1Tkaczyk5n = 6Tkaczyk took 5 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away583%
These 6 meetings
MetricGudzikTkaczykG − TBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match23.536.5−13.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 71 vs 993 / 149553.5%66.4%38 / 71 vs 993 / 1495Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykGudzik 3.50/Tkaczyk 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.1%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gudzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 1 · 23:55K. Gudzik—6770H. Tkaczyk—1111113
LSep 1 · 17:55K. Gudzik—12490H. Tkaczyk—1411113
LAug 27 · 02:10K. Gudzik—7240H. Tkaczyk—1111113
WAug 26 · 20:05K. Gudzik—651511113H. Tkaczyk—111113792
LAug 14 · 02:10K. Gudzik—4390H. Tkaczyk—1111113
LAug 13 · 20:05K. Gudzik—9640H. Tkaczyk—1111113
K. Gudzik10
LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113LSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113LSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113LSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151WSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113LSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113WSep 3 · 04:40K. Gudzik1.891111113J. Skorupa1.799870
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113WSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
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