TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083478
Played Sep 5Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611117911611––
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.26
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
611117911611––
H2H Andriej Fomin 9–36 Henryk Tkaczyk Andriej Fomin has won 9 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-36 in 45
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 27 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1441 vs Tkaczyk 1669
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 227 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Tkaczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 3.40 / Tkaczyk 1.26
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13083478
Fomin3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 70 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back36% 27 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Tkaczyk1.26
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 386 of 559
Up 2–0, closes it94% 220 of 234
Up 1–0, closes it85% 298 of 351
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin4wins
AwayTkaczyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin60%3 of 5
AwayTkaczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin5Tkaczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Fomin3Tkaczyk7n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S3Fomin3Tkaczyk7n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Fomin3Tkaczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Fomin2Tkaczyk1n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominTkaczykF − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.239.8−4.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime510 / 874 vs 993 / 149558.4%66.4%510 / 874 vs 993 / 1495Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykFomin 3.40/Tkaczyk 1.26
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 01:30A. Fomin—79110H. Tkaczyk—1111133
LSep 1 · 21:05A. Fomin—11135892H. Tkaczyk—7111111113
LAug 31 · 18:30A. Fomin—1112891H. Tkaczyk—61411113
LAug 7 · 03:05A. Fomin—10730H. Tkaczyk—1211113
LAug 6 · 21:05A. Fomin—481161H. Tkaczyk—11118113
LAug 3 · 21:10A. Fomin—5840H. Tkaczyk—1111113
WJul 2 · 05:05A. Fomin—12611113H. Tkaczyk—1011981
WJul 1 · 20:45A. Fomin—127911113H. Tkaczyk—101111852
WJun 29 · 18:55A. Fomin—1311123H. Tkaczyk—117100
WJun 20 · 23:35A. Fomin—312912113H. Tkaczyk—1110111092
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113LSep 3 · 01:45A. Fomin2.0051170M. Lewczuk1.731113113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
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