TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077923
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111131311911611
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
4111131311911611
H2H Andrzej Krezel 5–5 Henryk Tkaczyk Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1408 vs Tkaczyk 1689
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 281 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 40% vs Tkaczyk 100%
Tkaczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 30% vs Tkaczyk 90%
Tkaczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel +1 · Tkaczyk +5
Tkaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.60 / Tkaczyk 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077923
Krezel2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 44 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Tkaczyk1.41
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite69% won 386 of 559
Up 2–0, closes it94% 220 of 234
Up 1–0, closes it85% 298 of 351
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrezel5wins
AwayTkaczyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezel83.3%5 of 6
AwayTkaczyk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel6Tkaczyk4n = 10Krezel took 6 of 10
S2Krezel4Tkaczyk6n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Krezel4Tkaczyk6n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Krezel2Tkaczyk5n = 7Tkaczyk took 5 of 7
S5Krezel3Tkaczyk1n = 4Krezel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrezelTkaczykK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.138.5+0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 201 vs 993 / 149529.9%66.4%60 / 201 vs 993 / 1495Avg sets wonper match1.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykKrezel 2.60/Tkaczyk 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 01:25A. Krezel—9101141H. Tkaczyk—11126113
LSep 3 · 19:20A. Krezel—5750H. Tkaczyk—1111113
LAug 27 · 01:25A. Krezel—1112100H. Tkaczyk—1314123
WAug 26 · 19:20A. Krezel—111186113H. Tkaczyk—85111162
WAug 21 · 01:00A. Krezel—11114113H. Tkaczyk—361151
WAug 20 · 18:55A. Krezel—116811113H. Tkaczyk—81111592
LAug 20 · 05:05A. Krezel—761191H. Tkaczyk—11113113
WAug 19 · 20:45A. Krezel—1211128113H. Tkaczyk—108141192
LAug 13 · 21:00A. Krezel—1191214102H. Tkaczyk—5111016123
WAug 13 · 16:35A. Krezel—1111113H. Tkaczyk—8760
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113LSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
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