TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065510
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Machelski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711211––––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Machelski above · Andrzej Krezel below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 48 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Andrzej Krezel at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Machelski 1347 vs Krezel 1382
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machelski 20% vs Krezel 40%
Krezel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machelski 20% vs Krezel 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Machelski -1 · Krezel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Krezel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 2.25 / Krezel 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Krezel)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13065510
Machelski2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 120 of 353
Down 0–1, comes back17% 35 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 120
Krezel1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite35% won 14 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it59% 13 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 1135 vs 59 / 20036.7%29.5%417 / 1135 vs 59 / 200Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelMachelski 2.25/Krezel 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krezel won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Machelski10
LSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591LSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952WSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792WSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.83111195113M. Machelski1.8379111182WSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:55M. Machelski2.50115331H. Tkaczyk1.5091111113LSep 3 · 21:45M. Machelski3.50119551M. Guzik1.2871111113LSep 3 · 20:05M. Machelski2.203390A. Krezel1.611111113
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113LSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 3 · 20:05M. Machelski2.203390A. Krezel1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Machelski
Nothing scheduled
A. Krezel1 of 2 neutral
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