TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090706
Played Sep 7Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118711115119––
Michal Machelski
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 65.0% is still 65.0%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
65.0%
65.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118711115119––
H2H Janus Slawomir 5–1 Michal Machelski Michal Machelski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Slawomir
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Slawomir
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1433 vs Machelski 1337
Slawomir
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 60% vs Machelski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 70% vs Machelski 40%
Slawomir
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +3 · Machelski -1
Slawomir
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Slawomir) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machelski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.65 / Machelski 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Slawomir)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13090706
Slawomir1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 37 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Machelski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 116 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSlawomir5wins
AwayMachelski1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSlawomir leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomir83.3%5 of 6
AwayMachelskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir6Machelski0n = 6Slawomir took 6 of 6
S2Slawomir3Machelski3n = 6split evenly
S3Slawomir4Machelski2n = 6Slawomir took 4 of 6
S4Slawomir2Machelski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSlawomirMachelskiS − MBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match37.831.8+6.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirMachelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 125 vs 420 / 113556%37%70 / 125 vs 420 / 1135Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawomirSlawomir 1.65/Machelski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Slawomir · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slawomir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 26 · 21:05J. Slawomir—1112113M. Machelski—91070
LAug 12 · 21:05J. Slawomir—1191131M. Machelski—91113113
WAug 5 · 18:20J. Slawomir—11313113M. Machelski—8111131
WJul 27 · 06:45J. Slawomir—1111113M. Machelski—4450
WJul 20 · 06:25J. Slawomir—138117113M. Machelski—111171152
WJul 15 · 19:55J. Slawomir—11115113M. Machelski—841171
J. Slawomir10
WSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491WSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112WSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113LSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 2 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.8591151292Z. Nocun1.801181110113WSep 2 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.931111113K. Gudzik1.753580WSep 2 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.90118411113J. Skorupa1.8081111692WSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.7631111113A. Staniczek1.90114991LAug 31 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.6558110A. Fomin1.401111133
M. Machelski10
LSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952WSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792WSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.83111195113M. Machelski1.8379111182WSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:55M. Machelski2.50115331H. Tkaczyk1.5091111113LSep 3 · 21:45M. Machelski3.50119551M. Guzik1.2871111113LSep 3 · 20:05M. Machelski2.203390A. Krezel1.611111113
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