TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067125
Played Sep 2Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111185111210911
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
9111185111210911
H2H Janus Slawomir 2–1 Zbigniew Nocun Zbigniew Nocun has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1438 vs Nocun 1413
Slawomir
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 80% vs Nocun 0%
Slawomir
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 60% vs Nocun 40%
Slawomir
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +4 · Nocun -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.85 / Nocun 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nocun)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13067125
Slawomir1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Nocun1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 312 of 472
Up 2–0, closes it96% 149 of 156
Up 1–0, closes it87% 221 of 254
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSlawomir2wins
AwayNocun1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSlawomir leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir1Nocun2n = 3Nocun took 2 of 3
S2Slawomir2Nocun1n = 3Slawomir took 2 of 3
S3Slawomir2Nocun1n = 3Slawomir took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSlawomirNocunS − NBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.033.0+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 120 vs 633 / 106155.8%59.7%67 / 120 vs 633 / 1061Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunSlawomir 1.85/Nocun 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 17 · 05:35J. Slawomir—1111113Z. Nocun—2950
LJul 29 · 21:05J. Slawomir—311871Z. Nocun—11911113
WJul 22 · 21:05J. Slawomir—581111113Z. Nocun—11116672
J. Slawomir10
WSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591WSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491WSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112WSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113LSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113WSep 2 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.931111113K. Gudzik1.753580WSep 2 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.90118411113J. Skorupa1.8081111692WSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.7631111113A. Staniczek1.90114991LAug 31 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.6558110A. Fomin1.401111133
Z. Nocun10
LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171WSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
Upcoming Matches
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