TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089449
Played Sep 7Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151012117811611
Michal Wolny
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1151012117811611
H2H Janus Slawomir 3–6 Michal Wolny Janus Slawomir has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Wolny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Wolny
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1426 vs Wolny 1371
Slawomir
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 80% vs Wolny 40%
Slawomir
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 60% vs Wolny 40%
Slawomir
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir -1 · Wolny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wolny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.85 / Wolny 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wolny)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13089449
Slawomir1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Wolny1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlawomir3wins
AwayWolny6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderWolny leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomir66.7%2 of 3
AwayWolny83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir3Wolny6n = 9Wolny took 6 of 9
S2Slawomir5Wolny4n = 9Slawomir took 5 of 9
S3Slawomir5Wolny4n = 9Slawomir took 5 of 9
S4Slawomir2Wolny3n = 5Wolny took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlawomirWolnyS − WBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match35.736.0−0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 121 vs 271 / 56655.4%47.9%67 / 121 vs 271 / 566Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolnySlawomir 1.85/Wolny 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wolny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wolny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 08:50J. Slawomir—411861M. Wolny—11711113
LAug 24 · 06:45J. Slawomir—5670M. Wolny—1111113
LAug 10 · 05:35J. Slawomir—7813111M. Wolny—111111133
WAug 3 · 04:00J. Slawomir—1211113M. Wolny—10480
LJul 29 · 17:55J. Slawomir—115100M. Wolny—1311123
LJul 27 · 05:35J. Slawomir—311111292M. Wolny—114714113
WJul 22 · 17:55J. Slawomir—151211113M. Wolny—1710861
LJul 20 · 07:10J. Slawomir—116101192M. Wolny—411126113
WJul 13 · 07:10J. Slawomir—1111113M. Wolny—4920
J. Slawomir10
WSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112WSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113LSep 2 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.8591151292Z. Nocun1.801181110113WSep 2 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.931111113K. Gudzik1.753580WSep 2 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.90118411113J. Skorupa1.8081111692WSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.7631111113A. Staniczek1.90114991LAug 31 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.6558110A. Fomin1.401111133LAug 31 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.90411861M. Wolny1.7511711113LAug 31 · 07:50W. Stechly4.3011411113J. Slawomir1.16611631
M. Wolny10
LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143LSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.50111011123M. Wolny2.355125101WSep 3 · 23:05M. Wolny1.5281111113A. Staniczek2.30114041LSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113LSep 3 · 20:20M. Wolny2.37871171Z. Nocun1.5211119113WAug 31 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.90411861M. Wolny1.7511711113
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