TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073079
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Wolny
Home
4.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511511––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 83.8% is still 83.8%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
83.8%
83.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
711511511––––
H2H Michal Wolny 0–1 Dariusz Molenda Michal Wolny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.15 (80%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wolny 1414 vs Molenda 1622
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolny 60% vs Molenda 80%
Molenda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolny 70% vs Molenda 90%
Molenda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolny -1 · Molenda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolny 4.55 / Molenda 1.15
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Molenda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13073079
Wolny4.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 40 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Molenda1.15
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite82% won 119 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it92% 103 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWolny0wins
AwayMolenda1wins
Molenda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricWolnyMolendaW − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match14.033.0−19.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolnyMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 566 vs 212 / 26848.1%79.1%272 / 566 vs 212 / 268Avg sets wonper match1.92.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaWolny 4.55/Molenda 1.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.6%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 2 · 20:45M. Wolny—3740D. Molenda—1111113
M. Wolny10
LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143LSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.50111011123M. Wolny2.355125101WSep 3 · 23:05M. Wolny1.5281111113A. Staniczek2.30114041LSep 3 · 20:20M. Wolny2.37871171Z. Nocun1.5211119113LSep 3 · 18:45M. Wolny1.958850J. Zelezik1.751111113
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Wolny
D. Molenda
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