TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065849
Played Sep 3Finished
Jacek Zelezik
Home
3.15
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111161311––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
13111161311––––
H2H Jacek Zelezik 1–10 Dariusz Molenda Jacek Zelezik has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Molenda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Molenda
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezik 1397 vs Molenda 1630
Molenda
Wrong
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezik 80% vs Molenda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezik 50% vs Molenda 90%
Molenda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezik +4 · Molenda +2
Zelezik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezik 3.15 / Molenda 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Molenda)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13065849
Zelezik3.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 86 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Molenda1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite82% won 119 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it92% 103 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelezik1wins
AwayMolenda9wins
Molenda leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMolenda100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezik1Molenda9n = 10Molenda took 9 of 10
S2Zelezik3Molenda7n = 10Molenda took 7 of 10
S3Zelezik1Molenda9n = 10Molenda took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelezikMolendaZ − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match24.534.6−10.1per matchSweeps17−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelezikMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 651 vs 213 / 26953.8%79.2%350 / 651 vs 213 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.02.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaZelezik 3.15/Molenda 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.1%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 22:20J. Zelezik—10680D. Molenda—1211113
WJul 7 · 19:10J. Zelezik—1111113D. Molenda—8890
LJul 2 · 21:30J. Zelezik—911371D. Molenda—11811113
LMay 14 · 21:30J. Zelezik—7480D. Molenda—1111113
LApr 9 · 22:20J. Zelezik—46160D. Molenda—1111183
LMar 26 · 19:20J. Zelezik—211891D. Molenda—11611113
LMar 5 · 20:10J. Zelezik—6950D. Molenda—1111113
LFeb 26 · 23:20J. Zelezik—3690D. Molenda—1111113
LFeb 12 · 19:20J. Zelezik—8940D. Molenda—1111113
LFeb 5 · 21:45J. Zelezik—61170D. Molenda—1113113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442WSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562LSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
D. Molenda10
WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Zelezik4 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:50J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 19:40J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——
D. Molenda
Nothing scheduled
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