TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053425
Played Sep 1Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111194111210711
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
4111194111210711
H2H Andriej Fomin 1–1 Dariusz Molenda Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1443 vs Molenda 1590
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Molenda 80%
Molenda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Molenda 80%
Molenda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -2 · Molenda +4
Molenda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.60 / Molenda 1.42
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Molenda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13053425
Fomin2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 69 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back34% 25 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Molenda1.42
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite81% won 118 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it92% 101 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFomin1wins
AwayMolenda1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricFominMolendaF − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.044.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 852 vs 205 / 26058.5%78.9%498 / 852 vs 205 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaFomin 2.60/Molenda 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 6 · 18:20A. Fomin—119117113D. Molenda—91161132
LJun 4 · 20:45A. Fomin—811111142D. Molenda—111349113
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
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