TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073082
Played Sep 3Finished
Dariusz Molenda
Home
1.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118115––––
Adam Staniczek
Away
7.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 91.3% is still 91.3%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
91.3%
91.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
119118115––––
H2H Dariusz Molenda 11–1 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 1 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (87%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-1 in 12
Molenda
Correct
gap of 10 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molenda 1617 vs Staniczek 1271
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 346 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molenda 80% vs Staniczek 0%
Molenda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molenda 90% vs Staniczek 20%
Molenda
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molenda -1 · Staniczek -5
Staniczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 91% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (0%) is below what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolenda 1.05 / Staniczek 7.10
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Molenda)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13073082
Molenda1.05
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite82% won 119 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it92% 103 of 112
Staniczek7.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 111 of 425
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 272
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolenda9wins
AwayStaniczek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMolenda leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolenda87.5%7 of 8
AwayStaniczekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molenda8Staniczek2n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S2Molenda7Staniczek3n = 10Molenda took 7 of 10
S3Molenda8Staniczek2n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S4Molenda5Staniczek1n = 6Molenda took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolendaStaniczekM − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.928.8+10.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolendaStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 267 vs 366 / 100979%36.3%211 / 267 vs 366 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.033.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaMolenda 1.05/Staniczek 7.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.3%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 18:20D. Molenda—11611482A. Staniczek—711811113
WAug 6 · 20:45D. Molenda—161111113A. Staniczek—181751
WJul 30 · 20:45D. Molenda—11118113A. Staniczek—431171
WJul 23 · 20:45D. Molenda—1111113A. Staniczek—5490
WJul 16 · 18:20D. Molenda—861111113A. Staniczek—11113842
WJul 9 · 22:20D. Molenda—11711113A. Staniczek—811541
WMay 28 · 21:30D. Molenda—1111113A. Staniczek—6660
WMay 7 · 21:30D. Molenda—1111123A. Staniczek—98100
WFeb 26 · 21:45D. Molenda—1211113A. Staniczek—10850
WJan 22 · 23:20D. Molenda—11115113A. Staniczek—871171
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
A. Staniczek10
WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:25A. Staniczek2.631271161G. Mucha1.4414116113LSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962LSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880WSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 19:20A. Staniczek2.63311481G. Mucha1.4411411113WSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133LSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770LSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172
Upcoming Matches
D. Molenda
Nothing scheduled
A. Staniczek
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