TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053490
Played Sep 1Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611711––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
911611711––––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 14–16 Dariusz Molenda Henryk Tkaczyk has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Molenda
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1661 vs Molenda 1612
Tkaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 100% vs Molenda 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 90% vs Molenda 90%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +5 · Molenda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molenda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 2.35 / Molenda 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Molenda)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13053490
Tkaczyk2.35
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 66 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Molenda1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite81% won 118 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it92% 101 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk5wins
AwayMolenda5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk50%2 of 4
AwayMolenda50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk4Molenda6n = 10Molenda took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk6Molenda4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Tkaczyk4Molenda6n = 10Molenda took 6 of 10
S4Tkaczyk2Molenda6n = 8Molenda took 6 of 8
S5Tkaczyk3Molenda0n = 3Tkaczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykMolendaT − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.137.4−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime979 / 1479 vs 209 / 26466.2%79.2%979 / 1479 vs 209 / 264Avg sets wonper match2.42.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaTkaczyk 2.35/Molenda 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk—3560D. Molenda—1111113
WAug 6 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk—911811113D. Molenda—11111932
WAug 4 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk—1111113D. Molenda—7670
LJul 28 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk—1011371D. Molenda—12811113
LJul 23 · 21:30H. Tkaczyk—117781D. Molenda—71111113
WJul 9 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk—11101110113D. Molenda—61241272
WJun 25 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk—711114113D. Molenda—11791172
LJun 11 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk—511671D. Molenda—11811113
WMay 28 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk—71111113D. Molenda—116781
LMay 21 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk—1112471D. Molenda—91411113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
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