TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13060469
Played Sep 1Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
6.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511511––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 79.1% is still 79.1%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
79.1%
79.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
911511511––––
H2H Marian Brunner 2–15 Dariusz Molenda Marian Brunner has won 2 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (85%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-15 in 17
Molenda
Correct
gap of 13 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1216 vs Molenda 1608
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 392 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 20% vs Molenda 100%
Molenda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 20% vs Molenda 90%
Molenda
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner -4 · Molenda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 6.25 / Molenda 1.08
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Molenda)+3.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13060469
Brunner6.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Molenda1.08
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite81% won 118 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it92% 101 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrunner0wins
AwayMolenda10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMolenda leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrunnern = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMolenda100%10 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brunner0Molenda10n = 10Molenda took 10 of 10
S2Brunner3Molenda7n = 10Molenda took 7 of 10
S3Brunner3Molenda7n = 10Molenda took 7 of 10
S4Brunner1Molenda3n = 4Molenda took 3 of 4
S5Brunner0Molenda3n = 3Molenda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrunnerMolendaB − MBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match28.040.2−12.2per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 564 vs 208 / 26349.7%79.1%280 / 564 vs 208 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.02.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaBrunner 6.25/Molenda 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.2%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 21:30M. Brunner—7512121D. Molenda—111110143
LAug 11 · 21:30M. Brunner—6490D. Molenda—1111113
LAug 4 · 21:30M. Brunner—511121552D. Molenda—1161017113
LJul 28 · 22:20M. Brunner—12830D. Molenda—1411113
LJul 21 · 21:30M. Brunner—7960D. Molenda—1111113
LJul 14 · 21:30M. Brunner—85100D. Molenda—1111123
LJul 7 · 21:30M. Brunner—4450D. Molenda—1111113
LJun 25 · 21:30M. Brunner—9370D. Molenda—1111113
LMar 31 · 22:20M. Brunner—71111452D. Molenda—118811113
LMar 24 · 23:20M. Brunner—31471142D. Molenda—1112115113
M. Brunner10
WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191LSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner2.5081311882A. Fomin1.451111811113LSep 1 · 18:45M. Brunner4.4011981272H. Tkaczyk1.165111110113LSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner1.417111381A. Barton2.6011715113LAug 26 · 04:20J. Zelezik2.16391111113M. Brunner1.6311113882
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
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