TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053423
Played Sep 1Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111311118811811
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
8111311118811811
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1228 vs Fomin 1425
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 20% vs Fomin 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 20% vs Fomin 40%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner -3 · Fomin -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 2.50 / Fomin 1.45
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13053423
Brunner2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Fomin1.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 274 of 381
Up 2–0, closes it98% 151 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it89% 215 of 242
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerFominBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 563 vs 498 / 85449.7%58.3%280 / 563 vs 498 / 854Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
FominBrunner 2.50/Fomin 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fomin won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Brunner10
WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191LSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113LSep 1 · 18:45M. Brunner4.4011981272H. Tkaczyk1.165111110113LSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner1.417111381A. Barton2.6011715113LAug 26 · 04:20J. Zelezik2.16391111113M. Brunner1.6311113882
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621
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