TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13016609
Played Aug 26Finished
Jacek Zelezik
Home
2.16
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311911113118118
Marian Brunner
Away
1.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:08 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
311911113118118
H2H Jacek Zelezik 9–6 Marian Brunner Marian Brunner has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Brunner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezik 1580 vs Brunner 1253
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 327 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezik 60% vs Brunner 40%
Zelezik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezik 70% vs Brunner 20%
Zelezik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezik +1 · Brunner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brunner) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brunner form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezik 2.16 / Brunner 1.63
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brunner)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13016609
Zelezik2.16
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 70
Brunner1.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 72 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelezik6wins
AwayBrunner4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezik100%4 of 4
AwayBrunner66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezik4Brunner6n = 10Brunner took 6 of 10
S2Zelezik4Brunner6n = 10Brunner took 6 of 10
S3Zelezik6Brunner4n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S4Zelezik2Brunner5n = 7Brunner took 5 of 7
S5Zelezik5Brunner1n = 6Zelezik took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelezikBrunnerZ − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.0−0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelezikBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 616 vs 287 / 57653.7%49.8%331 / 616 vs 287 / 576Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrunnerZelezik 2.16/Brunner 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brunner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 04:20J. Zelezik—391111113M. Brunner—11113882
WAug 25 · 18:45J. Zelezik—118119113M. Brunner—71141182
WJul 31 · 01:00J. Zelezik—1111133M. Brunner—34110
WJul 30 · 18:55J. Zelezik—111169113M. Brunner—59111152
WJul 8 · 01:10J. Zelezik—521111113M. Brunner—11117682
LJul 7 · 17:30J. Zelezik—5111441M. Brunner—11516113
LJun 24 · 24:20J. Zelezik—1970M. Brunner—1111113
LJun 23 · 20:20J. Zelezik—101311682M. Brunner—1211911113
LJun 17 · 03:30J. Zelezik—8840M. Brunner—1111113
WJun 16 · 21:30J. Zelezik—1110118123M. Brunner—412611102
J. Zelezik10
WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442WSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562LSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
M. Brunner10
WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191LSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner2.5081311882A. Fomin1.451111811113LSep 1 · 18:45M. Brunner4.4011981272H. Tkaczyk1.165111110113LSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner1.417111381A. Barton2.6011715113
Upcoming Matches
J. Zelezik4 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:50J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 19:40J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——
M. Brunner
Nothing scheduled
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