TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053420
Played Sep 2Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.68
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117116112––
Marian Brunner
Away
2.07
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:37 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
711117116112––
H2H Andriej Fomin 1–0 Marian Brunner Marian Brunner has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1427 vs Brunner 1237
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Brunner 20%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Brunner 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Brunner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brunner form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.68 / Brunner 2.07
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13053420
Fomin1.68
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 274 of 381
Up 2–0, closes it98% 151 of 154
Up 1–0, closes it89% 215 of 242
Brunner2.07
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFomin1wins
AwayBrunner0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFomin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFominBrunnerF − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match52.048.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 858 vs 281 / 56658.3%49.7%500 / 858 vs 281 / 566Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.68/Brunner 2.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 1 · 20:20A. Fomin—1111811113M. Brunner—81311882
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113
M. Brunner10
WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner2.5081311882A. Fomin1.451111811113LSep 1 · 18:45M. Brunner4.4011981272H. Tkaczyk1.165111110113LSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner1.417111381A. Barton2.6011715113LAug 26 · 04:20J. Zelezik2.16391111113M. Brunner1.6311113882
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