TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057227
Played Sep 1Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111171315811––
Aleksander Barton
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:53 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMarian Brunner to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
7111171315811––
H2H Marian Brunner 2–0 Aleksander Barton Aleksander Barton has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Brunner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1249 vs Barton 1062
Brunner
Wrong
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 40% vs Barton 20%
Brunner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 20% vs Barton 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner -1 · Barton -4
Barton
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Brunner) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 1.41 / Barton 2.60
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Brunner)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13057227
Brunner1.41
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 70 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Barton2.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog16% won 32 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBrunner2wins
AwayBarton0wins
Brunner leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBrunnerBartonBrunner − BartonBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.025.5+10.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 561 vs 79 / 36049.9%21.9%280 / 561 vs 79 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.01.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.531.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrunnerBrunner 1.41/Barton 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.6%
Brunner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 10 · 02:45M. Brunner—1211113A. Barton—10380
WJun 9 · 23:05M. Brunner—11511113A. Barton—611761
M. Brunner10
WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191LSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner2.5081311882A. Fomin1.451111811113LSep 1 · 18:45M. Brunner4.4011981272H. Tkaczyk1.165111110113LAug 26 · 04:20J. Zelezik2.16391111113M. Brunner1.6311113882
A. Barton10
LSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112LSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792LSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 4 · 05:05A. Barton2.90791181A. Staniczek1.3511114113LSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113LSep 4 · 02:20A. Barton6.506450Z. Nocun1.071111113LSep 4 · 24:45A. Barton6.505780J. Zelezik1.071111113LSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191
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