TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074504
Played Sep 4Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411511––––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.07
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:58 and never touched — 83.7% is still 83.7%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Nocun to win
83.7%
83.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
611411511––––
H2H Aleksander Barton 1–18 Zbigniew Nocun Aleksander Barton has won 1 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (86%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-18 in 19
Nocun
Correct
gap of 17 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1048 vs Nocun 1492
Nocun
Correct
both rated, 444 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 0% vs Nocun 80%
Nocun
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 10% vs Nocun 70%
Nocun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -5 · Nocun +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (80%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 6.50 / Nocun 1.07
Signal prob.11% / 90%
Edge (Nocun)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13074504
Barton6.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 33 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 121
Nocun1.07
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 316 of 478
Up 2–0, closes it96% 150 of 157
Up 1–0, closes it87% 225 of 258
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton1wins
AwayNocun9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNocun100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton1Nocun9n = 10Nocun took 9 of 10
S2Barton4Nocun6n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S3Barton0Nocun10n = 10Nocun took 10 of 10
S4Barton3Nocun1n = 4Barton took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonNocunB − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.137.8−10.7per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 372 vs 644 / 107521.8%59.9%81 / 372 vs 644 / 1075Avg sets wonper match1.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match31.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunBarton 6.50/Nocun 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.5%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 23:30A. Barton—21181132Z. Nocun—119117113
LJun 29 · 01:45A. Barton—6580Z. Nocun—1111113
LJun 28 · 16:15A. Barton—10690Z. Nocun—1211113
LJun 9 · 23:55A. Barton—8790Z. Nocun—1111113
LJun 9 · 17:55A. Barton—8120Z. Nocun—1111113
LMay 30 · 24:25A. Barton—6370Z. Nocun—1111113
WMay 29 · 20:45A. Barton—11126123Z. Nocun—91011101
LMar 26 · 04:55A. Barton—81151132Z. Nocun—116113113
LMar 25 · 22:55A. Barton—811110Z. Nocun—1113133
LMar 1 · 02:35A. Barton—513681Z. Nocun—111111113
A. Barton10
LSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112LSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792LSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 4 · 05:05A. Barton2.90791181A. Staniczek1.3511114113LSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113LSep 4 · 24:45A. Barton6.505780J. Zelezik1.071111113LSep 3 · 23:30A. Barton4.1275100J. Skorupa1.201111123LSep 2 · 04:40A. Fomin1.091111113A. Barton5.857790LSep 2 · 03:55H. Tkaczyk1.04151111133A. Barton8.101776111LSep 2 · 01:55K. Gudzik1.241311123A. Barton3.80115100
Z. Nocun10
LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171WSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
Upcoming Matches
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