TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065534
Played Sep 3Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
4.12
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111012––––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
7115111012––––
H2H Aleksander Barton 3–9 Jakub Skorupa Aleksander Barton has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:15What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (77%)
Skorupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Skorupa
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1060 vs Skorupa 1322
Skorupa
Correct
both rated, 262 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 20% vs Skorupa 40%
Skorupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 20% vs Skorupa 40%
Skorupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -4 · Skorupa -1
Barton
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 4.12 / Skorupa 1.20
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Skorupa)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065534
Barton4.12
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog16% won 33 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 121
Skorupa1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 145 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it76% 94 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton3wins
AwaySkorupa7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkorupa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton75%3 of 4
AwaySkorupa100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton4Skorupa6n = 10Skorupa took 6 of 10
S2Barton3Skorupa7n = 10Skorupa took 7 of 10
S3Barton2Skorupa8n = 10Skorupa took 8 of 10
S4Barton5Skorupa0n = 5Barton took 5 of 5
S5Barton1Skorupa3n = 4Skorupa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonSkorupaB − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.739.6−3.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 370 vs 290 / 59921.9%48.4%81 / 370 vs 290 / 599Avg sets wonper match1.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match31.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaBarton 4.12/Skorupa 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.8%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 01:55A. Barton—61461182J. Skorupa—1112119113
LAug 25 · 24:00A. Barton—136911102J. Skorupa—1111119123
WAug 18 · 24:00A. Barton—1111123J. Skorupa—73100
LJul 31 · 02:20A. Barton—10980J. Skorupa—1211113
LJul 27 · 21:10A. Barton—57111182J. Skorupa—111188113
LJun 26 · 02:10A. Barton—81160J. Skorupa—1113113
WJun 25 · 20:05A. Barton—13117113J. Skorupa—1161181
LMay 25 · 03:10A. Barton—84110J. Skorupa—1111133
LDec 24 · 01:20A. Barton—7920J. Skorupa—1111113
WDec 23 · 21:20A. Barton—129812113J. Skorupa—1011111042
A. Barton10
LSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112LSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792LSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 4 · 05:05A. Barton2.90791181A. Staniczek1.3511114113LSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113LSep 4 · 02:20A. Barton6.506450Z. Nocun1.071111113LSep 4 · 24:45A. Barton6.505780J. Zelezik1.071111113LSep 2 · 04:40A. Fomin1.091111113A. Barton5.857790LSep 2 · 03:55H. Tkaczyk1.04151111133A. Barton8.101776111LSep 2 · 01:55K. Gudzik1.241311123A. Barton3.80115100
J. Skorupa10
LSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111LSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113LSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113WSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762WSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442LSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171LSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.731111113J. Skorupa2.005860
Upcoming Matches
A. Barton
J. Skorupa6 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:00J. Skorupa—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Skorupa—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 17:20J. Skorupa—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 19:20J. Skorupa—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 20:05J. Skorupa—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Skorupa—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 22:30J. Skorupa—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 23:10J. Skorupa—M. Lewczuk——Sep 8 · 24:50J. Skorupa—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Skorupa—M. Krutak——
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