TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087108
Played Sep 6Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11541114121214211
Jakub Skorupa
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Jakub Skorupa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 96 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Jakub Skorupa at 55.4%
96 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 6–6 Jakub Skorupa Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:30What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lewczuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1521 vs Skorupa 1369
Lewczuk
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Skorupa 20%
Lewczuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 50% vs Skorupa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +1 · Skorupa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.57 / Skorupa 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lewczuk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087108
Lewczuk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 164 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it95% 102 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it84% 123 of 146
Skorupa2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 95 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk5wins
AwaySkorupa5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk66.7%4 of 6
AwaySkorupa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk6Skorupa4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S2Lewczuk6Skorupa4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S3Lewczuk8Skorupa2n = 10Lewczuk took 8 of 10
S4Lewczuk1Skorupa5n = 6Skorupa took 5 of 6
S5Lewczuk1Skorupa3n = 4Skorupa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukSkorupaL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.2+1.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 957 vs 296 / 61051.7%48.5%495 / 957 vs 296 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.57/Skorupa 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk—114141222J. Skorupa—5111214113
WSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—1111113J. Skorupa—5860
WAug 31 · 22:30M. Lewczuk—81111113J. Skorupa—119831
WAug 31 · 15:00M. Lewczuk—1271114113J. Skorupa—101181672
LJun 18 · 23:55M. Lewczuk—81111992J. Skorupa—119911113
LJun 18 · 17:55M. Lewczuk—91111692J. Skorupa—114911113
WJun 18 · 03:55M. Lewczuk—1114113J. Skorupa—71260
WJun 17 · 21:55M. Lewczuk—1113113J. Skorupa—81190
LMay 5 · 23:30M. Lewczuk—114731J. Skorupa—61111113
LMay 5 · 19:10M. Lewczuk—712110J. Skorupa—1114133
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360WSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192LSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132LSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.44841111143G. Mucha2.63111174122LSep 6 · 16:15M. Guzik1.501111113M. Lewczuk2.509920WSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.731111113J. Skorupa2.005860LSep 4 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.75111621M. Guzik1.4081111113
J. Skorupa10
LSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111LSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113LSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762WSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442LSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171LSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.731111113J. Skorupa2.005860LSep 4 · 04:40Z. Nocun1.5311139113J. Skorupa2.298111191
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk4 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 21:20M. Lewczuk—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 22:10M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 23:10M. Lewczuk—J. Skorupa——Sep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk—M. Krutak——Sep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk—A. Kubiak——
J. Skorupa6 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:00J. Skorupa—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Skorupa—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 17:20J. Skorupa—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 19:20J. Skorupa—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 20:05J. Skorupa—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Skorupa—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 22:30J. Skorupa—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 23:10J. Skorupa—M. Lewczuk——Sep 8 · 24:50J. Skorupa—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Skorupa—M. Krutak——
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