TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090703
Played Sep 7Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119411611116117
Aleksander Barton
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWitold Stechly to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
119411611116117
H2H Witold Stechly 3–10 Aleksander Barton Witold Stechly has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:17What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Barton
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Barton
Wrong
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1105 vs Barton 1017
Stechly
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 20% vs Barton 0%
Stechly
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 10% vs Barton 0%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -2 · Barton -5
Barton
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 2.10 / Barton 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barton)-1.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13090703
Stechly2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog19% won 45 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back10% 17 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 108
Barton1.67
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite62% won 18 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly3wins
AwayBarton7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBarton leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechlyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBarton87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly2Barton8n = 10Barton took 8 of 10
S2Stechly3Barton7n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S3Stechly5Barton5n = 10split evenly
S4Stechly2Barton4n = 6Barton took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyBartonS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.436.7−4.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 527 vs 81 / 37916.1%21.4%85 / 527 vs 81 / 379Avg sets wonper match1.21.2per matchAvg pointsper match32.931.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonStechly 2.10/Barton 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 05:05W. Stechly—91111113A. Barton—118781
LJul 15 · 23:55W. Stechly—481191A. Barton—11119113
LJul 3 · 24:45W. Stechly—1051181A. Barton—12117113
WJun 22 · 08:45W. Stechly—1114113A. Barton—91240
LJun 15 · 06:50W. Stechly—13450A. Barton—1511113
LMay 25 · 07:35W. Stechly—38100A. Barton—1111123
WApr 30 · 05:05W. Stechly—118911113A. Barton—61111932
LApr 16 · 05:05W. Stechly—611851A. Barton—11611113
LMar 26 · 24:30W. Stechly—891161A. Barton—11116113
LMar 12 · 24:30W. Stechly—12380A. Barton—1411113
W. Stechly10
LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113LSep 3 · 01:55W. Stechly3.95311621J. Skorupa1.2011811113LSep 3 · 24:45Z. Nocun1.12117912123W. Stechly4.958111110102LSep 2 · 23:55W. Stechly2.19981481A. Staniczek1.61111112113LAug 31 · 09:10W. Stechly2.05118781D. Maszczynski1.7071111113
A. Barton10
LSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112LSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792LSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 4 · 05:05A. Barton2.90791181A. Staniczek1.3511114113LSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113LSep 4 · 02:20A. Barton6.506450Z. Nocun1.071111113LSep 4 · 24:45A. Barton6.505780J. Zelezik1.071111113LSep 3 · 23:30A. Barton4.1275100J. Skorupa1.201111123LSep 2 · 04:40A. Fomin1.091111113A. Barton5.857790
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