TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13051170
Played Aug 31Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811711811––
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:55 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeWitold Stechly to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
117811711811––
H2H Witold Stechly 6–3 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Maszczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Stechly
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1137 vs Maszczynski 1127
Stechly
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 40% vs Maszczynski 20%
Stechly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 40% vs Maszczynski 20%
Stechly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly +2 · Maszczynski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maszczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 2.05 / Maszczynski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maszczynski)-0.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13051170
Stechly2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog19% won 44 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back11% 18 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 108
Maszczynski1.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStechly6wins
AwayMaszczynski3wins
5 of 9 to a deciderStechly leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly100%4 of 4
AwayMaszczynski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly4Maszczynski5n = 9Maszczynski took 5 of 9
S2Stechly4Maszczynski5n = 9Maszczynski took 5 of 9
S3Stechly8Maszczynski1n = 9Stechly took 8 of 9
S4Stechly3Maszczynski3n = 6split evenly
S5Stechly3Maszczynski2n = 5Stechly took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricStechlyMaszczynskiS − MBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.237.8+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 522 vs 84 / 39016.3%21.5%85 / 522 vs 84 / 390Avg sets wonper match1.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match32.933.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaszczynskiStechly 2.05/Maszczynski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maszczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maszczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 10 · 07:10W. Stechly—311117113D. Maszczynski—11951182
WAug 3 · 05:35W. Stechly—12711113D. Maszczynski—1011371
WJul 27 · 07:10W. Stechly—771111113D. Maszczynski—11116782
LJul 20 · 06:45W. Stechly—85111192D. Maszczynski—111177113
WJul 13 · 05:35W. Stechly—1111113D. Maszczynski—8080
LJun 29 · 04:50W. Stechly—65100D. Maszczynski—1111123
LJun 22 · 06:25W. Stechly—81211972D. Maszczynski—1110911113
WApr 6 · 07:35W. Stechly—119115123D. Maszczynski—911711102
WNov 10 · 06:35W. Stechly—1611113D. Maszczynski—14830
W. Stechly10
LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113LSep 3 · 01:55W. Stechly3.95311621J. Skorupa1.2011811113LSep 3 · 24:45Z. Nocun1.12117912123W. Stechly4.958111110102LSep 2 · 23:55W. Stechly2.19981481A. Staniczek1.61111112113WAug 31 · 07:50W. Stechly4.3011411113J. Slawomir1.16611631
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113WSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113LSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113WSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590LSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski3.405911101G. Mucha1.3011112123LSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172
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