TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081954
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomasz Kocik
Home
1.02
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1152111113118117
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
11.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 93.6% is still 93.6%
Graded at full timeTomasz Kocik to win
93.6%
93.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomasz Kocik above · Dariusz Maszczynski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomasz Kocik at 93.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Kocik 7–0 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.02 (92%)
Kocik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-0 in 7
Kocik
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocik 1458 vs Maszczynski 1223
Kocik
Correct
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocik 100% vs Maszczynski 40%
Kocik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocik 80% vs Maszczynski 40%
Kocik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocik +5 · Maszczynski +2
Kocik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 93% — Strong (leans Kocik) · live re-read · sealed at 94% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (9%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocik 1.02 / Maszczynski 11.00
Signal prob.93% / 7%
Edge (Kocik)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13081954
Kocik1.02
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 38 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Maszczynski11.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 63 of 262
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKocik7wins
AwayMaszczynski0wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKocik leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocik100%7 of 7
AwayMaszczynskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocik7Maszczynski0n = 7Kocik took 7 of 7
S2Kocik6Maszczynski1n = 7Kocik took 6 of 7
S3Kocik6Maszczynski1n = 7Kocik took 6 of 7
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home686%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKocikMaszczynskiK − MBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match34.921.0+13.9per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocikMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 83 vs 88 / 40269.9%21.9%58 / 83 vs 88 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.41.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.033.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocikKocik 1.02/Maszczynski 11.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.9%
Kocik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kocik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik—1121111113D. Maszczynski—51113872
WAug 1 · 22:55T. Kocik—1111113D. Maszczynski—5460
WAug 1 · 16:55T. Kocik—1111113D. Maszczynski—5660
WJul 25 · 21:20T. Kocik—1111113D. Maszczynski—4580
WJul 25 · 15:25T. Kocik—1111113D. Maszczynski—9850
WJul 11 · 21:44T. Kocik—1111113D. Maszczynski—6360
WJul 11 · 17:44T. Kocik—1111113D. Maszczynski—2870
T. Kocik10
WSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113WSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962WSep 5 · 22:35T. Kocik1.3011811113G. Mucha3.40611191WSep 5 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.506690T. Kocik1.281111113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113LSep 5 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28119981P. Gesiarz3.5081111113WSep 5 · 15:00T. Kocik1.4061111133G. Mucha2.751164111WAug 30 · 02:00C. Pawlik2.005770T. Kocik1.711111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113WSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113LSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113WSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590LSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski3.405911101G. Mucha1.3011112123WSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172WAug 31 · 20:30M. Machelski1.7761111932D. Maszczynski1.95116511113
Upcoming Matches
T. Kocik
Nothing scheduled
D. Maszczynski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.