TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13048026
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Machelski
Home
1.77
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611116115911311
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 66.6% is still 66.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Machelski to win
66.6%
66.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
611116115911311
H2H Michal Machelski 7–2 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Machelski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Machelski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machelski 1374 vs Maszczynski 1114
Machelski
Wrong
both rated, 260 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machelski 60% vs Maszczynski 0%
Machelski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machelski 60% vs Maszczynski 20%
Machelski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machelski -1 · Maszczynski -5
Maszczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Machelski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (0%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 1.77 / Maszczynski 1.95
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Machelski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13048026
Machelski1.77
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 93 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it81% 67 of 83
Maszczynski1.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 61 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMachelski7wins
AwayMaszczynski2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderMachelski leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachelski71.4%5 of 7
AwayMaszczynskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machelski7Maszczynski1n = 8Machelski took 7 of 8
S2Machelski3Maszczynski5n = 8Maszczynski took 5 of 8
S3Machelski6Maszczynski2n = 8Machelski took 6 of 8
S4Machelski6Maszczynski1n = 7Machelski took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home667%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricMachelskiMaszczynskiMachelski − MaszczynskiBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match41.535.6+5.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 1125 vs 85 / 39636.9%21.5%415 / 1125 vs 85 / 396Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.333.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachelskiMachelski 1.77/Maszczynski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Machelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maszczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 27 · 04:00M. Machelski—101111113D. Maszczynski—128691
WJul 20 · 03:35M. Machelski—11411113D. Maszczynski—711791
WJul 4 · 21:45M. Machelski—11911113D. Maszczynski—311771
LJul 4 · 17:45M. Machelski—11712472D. Maszczynski—7111011113
WJun 29 · 04:00M. Machelski—11916113D. Maszczynski—9111461
WJun 15 · 23:10M. Machelski—1511113D. Maszczynski—13860
LJun 15 · 17:10M. Machelski—11681172D. Maszczynski—211117113
WJun 9 · 24:00M. Machelski—11119113D. Maszczynski—471171
M. Machelski10
WSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792WSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.83111195113M. Machelski1.8379111182WSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:55M. Machelski2.50115331H. Tkaczyk1.5091111113LSep 3 · 21:45M. Machelski3.50119551M. Guzik1.2871111113LSep 3 · 20:05M. Machelski2.203390A. Krezel1.611111113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.6771111113M. Machelski2.10116861WSep 3 · 17:45M. Guzik1.253111061M. Machelski3.7511912113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113WSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113LSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113WSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590LSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski3.405911101G. Mucha1.3011112123LSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172
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