TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081946
Played Sep 5Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511611––––
Piotr Gesiarz
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Piotr Gesiarz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Piotr Gesiarz at 63.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 16–29 Piotr Gesiarz Dariusz Maszczynski has won 16 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gesiarz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-29 in 45
Gesiarz
Correct
gap of 13 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1214 vs Gesiarz 1415
Gesiarz
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 40% vs Gesiarz 80%
Gesiarz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 30% vs Gesiarz 70%
Gesiarz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -2 · Gesiarz +3
Gesiarz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Gesiarz) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 2.75 / Gesiarz 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Gesiarz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13081946
Maszczynski2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 63 of 262
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 118
Gesiarz1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaszczynski3wins
AwayGesiarz7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGesiarz leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynski100%3 of 3
AwayGesiarz100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski3Gesiarz7n = 10Gesiarz took 7 of 10
S2Maszczynski7Gesiarz3n = 10Maszczynski took 7 of 10
S3Maszczynski5Gesiarz5n = 10split evenly
S4Maszczynski0Gesiarz7n = 7Gesiarz took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiGesiarzM − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.936.8−1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiGesiarzBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 400 vs 133 / 28421.8%46.8%87 / 400 vs 133 / 284Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GesiarzMaszczynski 2.75/Gesiarz 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Gesiarz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gesiarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 16:10D. Maszczynski—981141P. Gesiarz—11119113
WAug 24 · 16:00D. Maszczynski—1111133P. Gesiarz—95110
LAug 17 · 16:00D. Maszczynski—7101181P. Gesiarz—11123113
LAug 16 · 02:10D. Maszczynski—81111842P. Gesiarz—119611113
WAug 15 · 20:05D. Maszczynski—1111113P. Gesiarz—1550
LAug 10 · 16:00D. Maszczynski—611871P. Gesiarz—11911113
WAug 8 · 22:55D. Maszczynski—111179123P. Gesiarz—741111102
LAug 8 · 16:55D. Maszczynski—81112101P. Gesiarz—11914123
LAug 3 · 20:00D. Maszczynski—1119101P. Gesiarz—11711123
LAug 2 · 24:35D. Maszczynski—3770P. Gesiarz—1111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113WSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113LSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113WSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski3.405911101G. Mucha1.3011112123LSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172WAug 31 · 20:30M. Machelski1.7761111932D. Maszczynski1.95116511113
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 6 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.91114118112G. Mucha1.80911611133LSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122WSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113WSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880LSep 5 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.506690T. Kocik1.281111113LSep 5 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.8311990G. Mucha1.831311113WSep 5 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28119981P. Gesiarz3.5081111113WSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770WSep 5 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.75812115113O. Jedrzejowski1.40111071142LAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143
Upcoming Matches
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P. Gesiarz
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