TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082235
Played Sep 6Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
9.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611211––––
Tomasz Kocik
Away
1.04
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched — 92.9% is still 92.9%
Graded at full timeTomasz Kocik to win
92.9%
92.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Tomasz Kocik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 45 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Tomasz Kocik at 92.9%
45 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 0–8 Tomasz Kocik Dariusz Maszczynski has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:20What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Kocik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Kocik
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1239 vs Kocik 1525
Kocik
Correct
both rated, 286 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 60% vs Kocik 100%
Kocik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 50% vs Kocik 80%
Kocik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski +1 · Kocik +5
Kocik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Kocik) · live re-read · sealed at 93% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 9.00 / Kocik 1.04
Signal prob.8% / 92%
Edge (Kocik)+2.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13082235
Maszczynski9.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 63 of 262
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 118
Kocik1.04
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 38 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMaszczynski0wins
AwayKocik8wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKocik leads 8–0, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKocik100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski0Kocik8n = 8Kocik took 8 of 8
S2Maszczynski1Kocik7n = 8Kocik took 7 of 8
S3Maszczynski1Kocik7n = 8Kocik took 7 of 8
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away788%
These 8 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiKocikM − KBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set08−8of 8Avg pointsper match19.934.6−14.7per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiKocikBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 407 vs 63 / 8822.1%71.6%90 / 407 vs 63 / 88Avg sets wonper match1.32.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocikMaszczynski 9.00/Kocik 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.8%
Kocik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kocik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski—4620T. Kocik—1111113
LSep 5 · 16:15D. Maszczynski—51113872T. Kocik—1121111113
LAug 1 · 22:55D. Maszczynski—5460T. Kocik—1111113
LAug 1 · 16:55D. Maszczynski—5660T. Kocik—1111113
LJul 25 · 21:20D. Maszczynski—4580T. Kocik—1111113
LJul 25 · 15:25D. Maszczynski—9850T. Kocik—1111113
LJul 11 · 21:44D. Maszczynski—6360T. Kocik—1111113
LJul 11 · 17:44D. Maszczynski—2870T. Kocik—1111113
D. Maszczynski10
WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113WSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113LSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113WSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590LSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski3.405911101G. Mucha1.3011112123LSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172WAug 31 · 20:30M. Machelski1.7761111932D. Maszczynski1.95116511113
T. Kocik10
WSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113WSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962WSep 5 · 22:35T. Kocik1.3011811113G. Mucha3.40611191WSep 5 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.506690T. Kocik1.281111113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113LSep 5 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28119981P. Gesiarz3.5081111113WSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:00T. Kocik1.4061111133G. Mucha2.751164111WAug 30 · 02:00C. Pawlik2.005770T. Kocik1.711111113
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