TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081941
Played Sep 5Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
5.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115119––––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Oskar Jedrzejowski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oskar Jedrzejowski at 62.2%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 0–2 Oskar Jedrzejowski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1195 vs Jedrzejowski 1482
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
both rated, 287 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 40% vs Jedrzejowski 60%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 20% vs Jedrzejowski 50%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -3 · Jedrzejowski +1
Maszczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 5.50 / Jedrzejowski 1.13
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13081941
Maszczynski5.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 63 of 262
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 118
Jedrzejowski1.13
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 49 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMaszczynski0wins
AwayJedrzejowski2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJedrzejowski leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiJedrzejowskiM − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.042.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 401 vs 116 / 20321.7%57.1%87 / 401 vs 116 / 203Avg sets wonper match1.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiMaszczynski 5.50/Jedrzejowski 1.13
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.8%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maszczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 15 · 22:35D. Maszczynski—8850O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
LAug 15 · 15:00D. Maszczynski—11113972O. Jedrzejowski—991111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113WSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113LSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski3.405911101G. Mucha1.3011112123LSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172WAug 31 · 20:30M. Machelski1.7761111932D. Maszczynski1.95116511113
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171WSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113LSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133WSep 5 · 16:35O. Jedrzejowski1.671112133G. Mucha2.10910110LSep 5 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.75812115113O. Jedrzejowski1.40111071142WAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
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