TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081944
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomasz Kocik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811118911––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeTomasz Kocik to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomasz Kocik above · Oskar Jedrzejowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tomasz Kocik at 59.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Kocik 1–2 Oskar Jedrzejowski Tomasz Kocik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kocik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocik 1477 vs Jedrzejowski 1458
Kocik
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocik 80% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
Kocik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocik 80% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
Kocik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocik -1 · Jedrzejowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kocik) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocik 1.61 / Jedrzejowski 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Kocik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13081944
Kocik1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 38 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Jedrzejowski2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 30 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKocik1wins
AwayJedrzejowski2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJedrzejowski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocik1Jedrzejowski2n = 3Jedrzejowski took 2 of 3
S2Kocik1Jedrzejowski2n = 3Jedrzejowski took 2 of 3
S3Kocik2Jedrzejowski1n = 3Kocik took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKocikJedrzejowskiK − JBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.738.0−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocikJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 81 vs 115 / 20270.4%56.9%57 / 81 vs 115 / 202Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocikKocik 1.61/Jedrzejowski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Kocik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 22 · 18:25T. Kocik—71111792O. Jedrzejowski—115911113
WAug 15 · 01:35T. Kocik—11811113O. Jedrzejowski—811871
LAug 14 · 19:35T. Kocik—8880O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
T. Kocik10
WSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113WSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962WSep 5 · 22:35T. Kocik1.3011811113G. Mucha3.40611191WSep 5 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.506690T. Kocik1.281111113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28119981P. Gesiarz3.5081111113WSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:00T. Kocik1.4061111133G. Mucha2.751164111WAug 30 · 02:00C. Pawlik2.005770T. Kocik1.711111113
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171LSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590LSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133WSep 5 · 16:35O. Jedrzejowski1.671112133G. Mucha2.10910110LSep 5 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.75812115113O. Jedrzejowski1.40111071142WAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.