TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081948
Played Sep 5Finished
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8117111113––––
Adam Staniczek
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOskar Jedrzejowski above · Adam Staniczek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Oskar Jedrzejowski at 65.3%
61 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejowski 1482 vs Staniczek 1184
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
both rated, 298 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejowski 60% vs Staniczek 20%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejowski 40% vs Staniczek 10%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejowski +1 · Staniczek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejowski 1.30 / Staniczek 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13081948
Jedrzejowski1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 49 of 62
Staniczek3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 111 of 435
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 278
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 207
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejowskiStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 201 vs 365 / 100157.2%36.5%115 / 201 vs 365 / 1001Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.833.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiJedrzejowski 1.30/Staniczek 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Staniczek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171LSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590WSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113WSep 5 · 16:35O. Jedrzejowski1.671112133G. Mucha2.10910110LSep 5 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.75812115113O. Jedrzejowski1.40111071142WAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
A. Staniczek10
WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:25A. Staniczek2.631271161G. Mucha1.4414116113LSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962LSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880WSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 19:20A. Staniczek2.63311481G. Mucha1.4411411113LSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770LSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172WSep 4 · 05:05A. Barton2.90791181A. Staniczek1.3511114113
Upcoming Matches
O. Jedrzejowski
Nothing scheduled
A. Staniczek
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