TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082206
Played Sep 5Finished
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185111012711––
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:09 and never touched — 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOskar Jedrzejowski above · Dariusz Maszczynski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oskar Jedrzejowski at 85.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jedrzejowski 2–2 Dariusz Maszczynski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejowski 1459 vs Maszczynski 1239
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejowski 60% vs Maszczynski 20%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejowski 60% vs Maszczynski 30%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejowski +1 · Maszczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejowski 1.17 / Maszczynski 4.50
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082206
Jedrzejowski1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 49 of 62
Maszczynski4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 63 of 262
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJedrzejowski2wins
AwayMaszczynski2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejowski2Maszczynski2n = 4split evenly
S2Jedrzejowski1Maszczynski3n = 4Maszczynski took 3 of 4
S3Jedrzejowski2Maszczynski2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricJedrzejowskiMaszczynskiJ − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.534.2+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejowskiMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 206 vs 89 / 40456.8%22%117 / 206 vs 89 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.733.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiJedrzejowski 1.17/Maszczynski 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.2%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maszczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski—1151071D. Maszczynski—81112113
LSep 5 · 19:40O. Jedrzejowski—7590D. Maszczynski—1111113
WAug 15 · 22:35O. Jedrzejowski—1111113D. Maszczynski—8850
WAug 15 · 15:00O. Jedrzejowski—991111113D. Maszczynski—11113972
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171LSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590WSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113LSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133WSep 5 · 16:35O. Jedrzejowski1.671112133G. Mucha2.10910110LSep 5 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.75812115113O. Jedrzejowski1.40111071142WAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113LSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113WSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590LSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski3.405911101G. Mucha1.3011112123LSep 5 · 16:15T. Kocik1.021121111113D. Maszczynski11.0051113872WSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172WAug 31 · 20:30M. Machelski1.7761111932D. Maszczynski1.95116511113
Upcoming Matches
O. Jedrzejowski
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D. Maszczynski
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