TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081953
Played Sep 5Finished
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11912101311––––
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Jedrzejowski above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-7
Point 58 set 3, 9-7 — our read held Oskar Jedrzejowski at 55.9%
58 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Oskar Jedrzejowski 3–2 Grzegorz Mucha Grzegorz Mucha has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jedrzejowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejowski 1458 vs Mucha 1391
Jedrzejowski
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejowski 60% vs Mucha 80%
Mucha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejowski 30% vs Mucha 70%
Mucha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejowski -1 · Mucha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jedrzejowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejowski 1.67 / Mucha 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13081953
Jedrzejowski1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 49 of 62
Mucha2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJedrzejowski3wins
AwayMucha2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJedrzejowski leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejowski75%3 of 4
AwayMuchan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejowski4Mucha1n = 5Jedrzejowski took 4 of 5
S2Jedrzejowski3Mucha2n = 5Jedrzejowski took 3 of 5
S3Jedrzejowski1Mucha4n = 5Mucha took 4 of 5
S4Jedrzejowski2Mucha2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJedrzejowskiMuchaJ − MBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match39.240.0−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejowskiMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 204 vs 118 / 23756.9%49.8%116 / 204 vs 118 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiJedrzejowski 1.67/Mucha 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 5 · 16:35O. Jedrzejowski—111283G. Mucha—91070
LAug 23 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski—1011871G. Mucha—12911113
WAug 22 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski—111313113G. Mucha—8111571
WAug 16 · 24:10O. Jedrzejowski—1161011113G. Mucha—81112992
LAug 15 · 20:30O. Jedrzejowski—118941G. Mucha—81111113
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171LSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590WSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113LSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133LSep 5 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.75812115113O. Jedrzejowski1.40111071142WAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
G. Mucha10
WSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113WSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113WSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336730WSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113WSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113LSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.44841111143G. Mucha2.63111174122LSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562LSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171
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