TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083154
Played Sep 6Finished
Jacek Zelezik
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118711115116
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:14 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Mucha to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJacek Zelezik above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 74.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Zelezik 0–5 Grzegorz Mucha Jacek Zelezik has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mucha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Mucha
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezik 1397 vs Mucha 1413
Mucha
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezik 40% vs Mucha 60%
Mucha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezik 70% vs Mucha 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezik -1 · Mucha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mucha) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezik 2.20 / Mucha 1.61
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Mucha)-1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13083154
Zelezik2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 67
Mucha1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 77 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZelezik0wins
AwayMucha5wins
Mucha leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMucha100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezik2Mucha3n = 5Mucha took 3 of 5
S2Zelezik2Mucha3n = 5Mucha took 3 of 5
S3Zelezik0Mucha5n = 5Mucha took 5 of 5
S4Zelezik0Mucha4n = 4Mucha took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away480%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricZelezikMuchaZ − MBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match30.440.2−9.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelezikMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 658 vs 121 / 24353.8%49.8%354 / 658 vs 121 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuchaZelezik 2.20/Mucha 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Mucha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 5 · 22:55J. Zelezik—611691G. Mucha—11811113
LJul 5 · 17:40J. Zelezik—1111491G. Mucha—71311113
LJul 5 · 16:55J. Zelezik—1111491G. Mucha—71311113
LJun 21 · 01:00J. Zelezik—311661G. Mucha—11911113
LJun 20 · 18:55J. Zelezik—10680G. Mucha—1211113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442LSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162WSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192
G. Mucha10
WSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113WSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113WSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336730WSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113WSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113LSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.44841111143G. Mucha2.63111174122LSep 6 · 15:00M. Guzik1.221111113G. Mucha4.002580WSep 6 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.91114118112G. Mucha1.80911611133
Upcoming Matches
J. Zelezik4 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:50J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 19:40J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——
G. Mucha
Nothing scheduled
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