TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083147
Played Sep 6Finished
Jacek Zelezik
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411611––––
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Mucha to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Zelezik above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 74.4%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Zelezik 1–6 Grzegorz Mucha Jacek Zelezik has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mucha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Mucha
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezik 1414 vs Mucha 1378
Zelezik
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezik 60% vs Mucha 20%
Zelezik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezik 60% vs Mucha 40%
Zelezik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezik -1 · Mucha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mucha) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezik 2.20 / Mucha 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Mucha)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13083147
Zelezik2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 67
Mucha1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 77 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZelezik1wins
AwayMucha6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderMucha leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMucha80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezik2Mucha5n = 7Mucha took 5 of 7
S2Zelezik3Mucha4n = 7Mucha took 4 of 7
S3Zelezik0Mucha7n = 7Mucha took 7 of 7
S4Zelezik1Mucha4n = 5Mucha took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricZelezikMuchaZ − MBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match31.139.3−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelezikMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 663 vs 123 / 24853.9%49.6%357 / 663 vs 123 / 248Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuchaZelezik 2.20/Mucha 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Mucha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mucha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik—9460G. Mucha—1111113
WSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik—711711113G. Mucha—11811562
LJul 5 · 22:55J. Zelezik—611691G. Mucha—11811113
LJul 5 · 17:40J. Zelezik—1111491G. Mucha—71311113
LJul 5 · 16:55J. Zelezik—1111491G. Mucha—71311113
LJun 21 · 01:00J. Zelezik—311661G. Mucha—11911113
LJun 20 · 18:55J. Zelezik—10680G. Mucha—1211113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442WSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562LSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162WSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192
G. Mucha10
WSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113WSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113WSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336730WSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113LSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.44841111143G. Mucha2.63111174122LSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562LSep 6 · 15:00M. Guzik1.221111113G. Mucha4.002580WSep 6 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.91114118112G. Mucha1.80911611133
Upcoming Matches
J. Zelezik4 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:50J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 19:40J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——
G. Mucha
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.