TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13054799
Played Aug 31Finished
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111181214––
Jakub Cyndera
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
9119111181214––
H2H Piotr Gesiarz 11–14 Jakub Cyndera Piotr Gesiarz has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cyndera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Cyndera
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gesiarz 1367 vs Cyndera 1386
Cyndera
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gesiarz 60% vs Cyndera 40%
Gesiarz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gesiarz 30% vs Cyndera 50%
Cyndera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gesiarz +1 · Cyndera +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyndera form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 2.25 / Cyndera 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Cyndera)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13054799
Gesiarz2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 46 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Cyndera1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it90% 103 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGesiarz6wins
AwayCyndera4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderGesiarz leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGesiarz80%4 of 5
AwayCyndera60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gesiarz5Cyndera5n = 10split evenly
S2Gesiarz4Cyndera6n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S3Gesiarz4Cyndera6n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S4Gesiarz4Cyndera4n = 8split evenly
S5Gesiarz5Cyndera2n = 7Gesiarz took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGesiarzCynderaG − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.344.3−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzCynderaBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 279 vs 310 / 55946.2%55.5%129 / 279 vs 310 / 559Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaGesiarz 2.25/Cyndera 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cyndera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 19:10P. Gesiarz—11127113J. Cyndera—8101191
LAug 10 · 18:45P. Gesiarz—6870J. Cyndera—1111113
WJul 27 · 18:45P. Gesiarz—1111105113J. Cyndera—56121162
WJul 20 · 18:45P. Gesiarz—112114113J. Cyndera—71181172
LJul 13 · 16:50P. Gesiarz—711100J. Cyndera—1113123
WJul 6 · 18:45P. Gesiarz—211117113J. Cyndera—11481182
LJun 29 · 18:25P. Gesiarz—971111112J. Cyndera—111187133
LJun 28 · 02:10P. Gesiarz—114514122J. Cyndera—7111112143
WJun 27 · 20:05P. Gesiarz—911711123J. Cyndera—118118102
WJun 22 · 17:10P. Gesiarz—2011116113J. Cyndera—181391162
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 6 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.91114118112G. Mucha1.80911611133LSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122WSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113WSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880LSep 5 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.506690T. Kocik1.281111113LSep 5 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.8311990G. Mucha1.831311113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113WSep 5 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28119981P. Gesiarz3.5081111113WSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770WSep 5 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.75812115113O. Jedrzejowski1.40111071142
J. Cyndera10
LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 19:30J. Cyndera1.1471111123D. Maszczynski4.751156101LAug 31 · 18:10A. Staniczek2.3513411113J. Cyndera1.531111581LAug 31 · 16:30J. Zelezik1.46111188113J. Cyndera2.4669111132LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113WAug 31 · 14:50M. Machelski2.959950J. Cyndera1.351111113
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