TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053507
Played Aug 31Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311411115118––
Jakub Cyndera
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1311411115118––
H2H Adam Staniczek 14–36 Jakub Cyndera Adam Staniczek has won 14 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:01What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Cyndera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-36 in 50
Cyndera
Wrong
gap of 22 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1366 vs Cyndera 1394
Cyndera
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 80% vs Cyndera 40%
Staniczek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 70% vs Cyndera 50%
Staniczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek +1 · Cyndera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyndera form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 2.35 / Cyndera 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Cyndera)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13053507
Staniczek2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 108 of 409
Down 0–1, comes back12% 30 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 193
Cyndera1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it90% 103 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek2wins
AwayCyndera8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCyndera leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCyndera77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek1Cyndera9n = 10Cyndera took 9 of 10
S2Staniczek2Cyndera8n = 10Cyndera took 8 of 10
S3Staniczek3Cyndera7n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S4Staniczek2Cyndera3n = 5Cyndera took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekCynderaS − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.936.8−6.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekCynderaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 1001 vs 309 / 55736.4%55.5%364 / 1001 vs 309 / 557Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.735.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaStaniczek 2.35/Cyndera 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 01:55A. Staniczek—1112491J. Cyndera—131011113
LAug 13 · 19:55A. Staniczek—8740J. Cyndera—1111113
WAug 10 · 21:35A. Staniczek—691111113J. Cyndera—11114982
LAug 10 · 15:35A. Staniczek—6770J. Cyndera—1111113
LJul 30 · 23:55A. Staniczek—7640J. Cyndera—1111113
LJul 30 · 17:55A. Staniczek—3670J. Cyndera—1111113
WJul 27 · 21:35A. Staniczek—91111113J. Cyndera—114621
LJul 27 · 15:35A. Staniczek—101160J. Cyndera—1213113
LJul 20 · 21:35A. Staniczek—981451J. Cyndera—111112113
LJul 20 · 15:35A. Staniczek—1197111J. Cyndera—91111133
A. Staniczek10
WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:25A. Staniczek2.631271161G. Mucha1.4414116113LSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962LSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880WSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 19:20A. Staniczek2.63311481G. Mucha1.4411411113WSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133LSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770LSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172
J. Cyndera10
LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143WAug 31 · 19:30J. Cyndera1.1471111123D. Maszczynski4.751156101LAug 31 · 16:30J. Zelezik1.46111188113J. Cyndera2.4669111132LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113WAug 31 · 14:50M. Machelski2.959950J. Cyndera1.351111113
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