TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13048022
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.46
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211117711211––
Michal Machelski
Away
2.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
211117711211––
H2H Jakub Cyndera 26–12 Michal Machelski Michal Machelski has won 12 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Cyndera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-12 in 38
Cyndera
Wrong
gap of 14 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1425 vs Machelski 1363
Cyndera
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 100% vs Machelski 40%
Cyndera
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 70% vs Machelski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +5 · Machelski +1
Cyndera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyndera form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.46 / Machelski 2.47
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Cyndera)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13048022
Cyndera1.46
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it90% 103 of 115
Machelski2.47
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 119 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyndera5wins
AwayMachelski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyndera100%4 of 4
AwayMachelski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyndera4Machelski6n = 10Machelski took 6 of 10
S2Cyndera7Machelski3n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S3Cyndera4Machelski6n = 10Machelski took 6 of 10
S4Cyndera2Machelski3n = 5Machelski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCynderaMachelskiC − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.633.7−0.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaMachelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 563 vs 417 / 112955.8%36.9%314 / 563 vs 417 / 1129Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.46/Machelski 2.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Machelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 24:45J. Cyndera—612731M. Machelski—111011113
LJul 28 · 24:45J. Cyndera—91090M. Machelski—1112113
LJul 21 · 24:45J. Cyndera—8270M. Machelski—1111113
WJul 14 · 02:20J. Cyndera—1111113M. Machelski—7490
WJul 7 · 24:45J. Cyndera—611116113M. Machelski—11751142
LJun 30 · 02:45J. Cyndera—7680M. Machelski—1111113
WJun 23 · 02:45J. Cyndera—11117113M. Machelski—891141
LJun 15 · 21:35J. Cyndera—611111192M. Machelski—119813113
WJun 15 · 15:35J. Cyndera—1111113M. Machelski—6360
WJun 8 · 21:10J. Cyndera—111110113M. Machelski—881291
J. Cyndera10
LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143WAug 31 · 19:30J. Cyndera1.1471111123D. Maszczynski4.751156101LAug 31 · 18:10A. Staniczek2.3513411113J. Cyndera1.531111581LAug 31 · 16:30J. Zelezik1.46111188113J. Cyndera2.4669111132LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113WAug 31 · 14:50M. Machelski2.959950J. Cyndera1.351111113
M. Machelski10
LSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792WSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.83111195113M. Machelski1.8379111182WSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:55M. Machelski2.50115331H. Tkaczyk1.5091111113LSep 3 · 21:45M. Machelski3.50119551M. Guzik1.2871111113LSep 3 · 20:05M. Machelski2.203390A. Krezel1.611111113LAug 31 · 14:50M. Machelski2.959950J. Cyndera1.351111113
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M. Machelski
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